The Fortune Sellers: The Big Business of Buying and Selling PredictionsWiley, 1998 - 308 sider The Fortune Sellers contains in-depth explorations of the seven most prevalent forecasting professions today - meteorology, economics, investments, technology assessment, demography, futurology, and organizational planning. As Sherden uncovers their historical roots and traces their track records, he deftly reveals just how accurate - or inaccurate - their predictions really are. Fascinating historical facts, scores of actual examples, and a wealth of eye-opening statistics illuminate the difference between reliable real-world information and spurious guesswork. In the Fortune Sellers, you'll discover: how anyone who is counting on a weather forecast more than a day or two in advance might just as well flip a coin; how economics earned its nickname - the "dismal science"--And why it sticks; how profits from prediction work on Wall Street; how academia, business, and the media feed our fascination with science fact and fiction and future technology; how futurists - predictors of societal change - use the infirm foundations of social science to predict everything from utopia to techno-totalitarianism; and how prognosticators failed to predict many milestone events, including the stock market crash of 1929, the recession of the 1980s, and the fall of East Berlin. |
Inni boken
Resultat 1-3 av 60
Side 225
... American continent from Mexico and various Indian tribes during the nineteenth century . Ac- cording to Manifest Destiny , American colonial states with their supe- rior institutions were destined by God to take over the rest of the ...
... American continent from Mexico and various Indian tribes during the nineteenth century . Ac- cording to Manifest Destiny , American colonial states with their supe- rior institutions were destined by God to take over the rest of the ...
Side 290
... American Psychologist ( February 1991 ) : 107 . Gilman , Donald L. " Long - Range Forecasting : The Present and the Future . " Bul- letin of the American Meteorological Society ( February 1985 ) : 159–163 . Gimpl , Martin L. , and Dakin ...
... American Psychologist ( February 1991 ) : 107 . Gilman , Donald L. " Long - Range Forecasting : The Present and the Future . " Bul- letin of the American Meteorological Society ( February 1985 ) : 159–163 . Gimpl , Martin L. , and Dakin ...
Side 294
... American People . New York : Oxford University Press , 1965 . Morris , Charles R. “ It's Not the Economy , Stupid . " Atlantic Monthly ( July 1993 ) : 49-62 . Naisbitt , John . John Naisbitt's Trend Letter . New York : Global Network ...
... American People . New York : Oxford University Press , 1965 . Morris , Charles R. “ It's Not the Economy , Stupid . " Atlantic Monthly ( July 1993 ) : 49-62 . Naisbitt , John . John Naisbitt's Trend Letter . New York : Global Network ...
Innhold
The Second Oldest Profession | 1 |
Voodoo Economics | 8 |
Chapter | 15 |
Opphavsrett | |
17 andre deler vises ikke
Andre utgaver - Vis alle
The Fortune Sellers: The Big Business of Buying and Selling Predictions William A. Sherden Begrenset visning - 1997 |
The Fortune Sellers: The Big Business of Buying and Selling Predictions William A. Sherden Begrenset visning - 1997 |
The Fortune Sellers: The Big Business of Buying and Selling Predictions William A. Sherden Ingen forhåndsvisning tilgjengelig - 1999 |
Vanlige uttrykk og setninger
accurate American Meteorological Society analysis average beat the market behavior believe Business Week called cause chaos companies complex corporate cycles decades Delphi method dicted earnings economic forecasts economists example experts fact Faith Popcorn Farmers fore forecast accuracy forecast error forecasting skill future futurist futurology Garzarelli global global warming growth human hurricane Ibid improved industry innovations investment investors Journal July Jupiter Effect long-range long-term major Malkiel meteorologists million mutual fund Naisbitt naive forecast Old Farmer's Almanac organizations percent Popcorn population forecasts production professor prophecy random Robert Heilbroner robots scientific scientists sell shown in Figure situational bias social prediction statistical stock market stock prices storms strategic planning technology forecasts temperatures theory tion track record trends turning points U.S. Government United University unpredictable Value Line Wall Street weather forecasting Worldly Philosophers York