Thinking and DecidingCambridge University Press, 22. okt. 2006 Beginning with its first edition and through subsequent editions, Thinking and Deciding has established itself as the required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this fourth edition, first published in 2007, Jonathan Baron retains the comprehensive attention to the key questions addressed in the previous editions - how should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making? - and his expanded treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Baye's theorem, and moral thinking. With the student in mind, the fourth edition emphasises the development of an understanding of the fundamental concepts in judgement and decision making. This book is essential reading for students and scholars in judgement and decision making and related fields, including psychology, economics, law, medicine, and business. |
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Side xiii
... consider, and we make inferences in ways that protect our favored ideas. In the course of this book, I apply these ideas to the major concepts and theories in the study of thinking. I begin, in Part I, with general considerations: the ...
... consider, and we make inferences in ways that protect our favored ideas. In the course of this book, I apply these ideas to the major concepts and theories in the study of thinking. I begin, in Part I, with general considerations: the ...
Side 11
... consider possibilities for that level, we search for goals, and we look for evidence about how well the possibilities achieve the goals. Planning is decision making, except that it does not result in immediate action. Some plans — such ...
... consider possibilities for that level, we search for goals, and we look for evidence about how well the possibilities achieve the goals. Planning is decision making, except that it does not result in immediate action. Some plans — such ...
Side 14
... consider is a type of action to take . This kind of learning can have much in common with science . Whereas science is a “ pure ” activity , with a single goal , behavioral learning has two goals : learning about the situation and ...
... consider is a type of action to take . This kind of learning can have much in common with science . Whereas science is a “ pure ” activity , with a single goal , behavioral learning has two goals : learning about the situation and ...
Side 27
Beklager, innholdet på denne siden er tilgangsbegrenset..
Beklager, innholdet på denne siden er tilgangsbegrenset..
Side 62
Beklager, innholdet på denne siden er tilgangsbegrenset..
Beklager, innholdet på denne siden er tilgangsbegrenset..
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actively open-minded Allais paradox answer argued argument assume attributes Baron Bayes's theorem behavior beliefs benefit better bias biases cancer cause Chapter choice choose concerned consider cooperation correlation cost decision analysis dimension disease effect emotions error evaluate evidence example expected utility expected value expected-utility theory experiment experimental favor formula function gamble given harm heuristic hypothesis idea inference intuitions involve irrational Journal judge Kahneman kind less logic means measure method moral normative model normative theory omission bias one’s option outcomes patients people’s possible prediction prefer prescriptive primacy effect principle prior probability probability judgments probability theory problem prospect theory Psychology question rational reason representativeness heuristic result risk risk aversion rule score situation Slovic social dilemmas standard gambles subjects were asked Suppose tend things tradeoff true Tversky utilitarianism utility theory vaccine winning